Should I… Pay off High Interest Debt or Invest or Build an Emergency Fund?

Depending on which expert you read, you might get a different answer. Each has it’s pros and cons…

  • High Interest Debt, such as credit cards or payday loans, are terrible for your financial health. Paying them off and not accruing anymore is vitally important, and quickly. It’s the most sure and best investment you could make in yourself.
  • The longer your investment horizon, the more compounding will turn a meager start into a sizable end result. Investing for 35 years instead of 25 yrs, given regular contributions the whole time, can nearly double the money over those last 10 years. Historically, the S&P 500 will return just shy of 10% so it’s less than your credit card interest rate, but not too shabby either.
  • An emergency fund is necessary. Dave Ramsey says save $1,000 cash asap. Given inflation since his Baby Steps were first printed, many don’t feel comfortable until they have $5-10k or more.

So, which is the most important or which should you do first? All of the above is likely the right answer. Here is what we recommend:

  • Start building that emergency fund NOW. You will sleep better at night and it doesn’t have to be more than $1k until all your high interest debt is gone. Once all your remaining debt has interest rates below 10%, or if you experience a job loss or a global pandemic w/ shutdowns cripple the economy for a few months, then bump that emergency fund up to 1-6 months of bare-bones expenses.
  • Invest 5% of your paycheck, or more if required to get your full employer match. It’s a free 100% return and it starts building the right habits of automatic saving and investing. If you don’t have a match or even an employer plan, still contribute 5% to an IRA. It’s about building habits and early positive results at this point, not earth-shattering wealth. Automate wherever you can. We always enjoyed manually clicking transfer, but you will never save as much compared to automatic contributions. You will forget, or another bill will come up and you will promise yourself you’ll make up the savings next paycheck (but won’t).
  • PAY OF HIGH INTEREST DEBT and STOP SPENDING!!! If you live in a First World Country today, you live in a time of massive convenience and consumerism even for the lower middle class. No matter what you’re income level, you are only hurting yourself (and your kids) by spending more than you make. STOP IT! I know it’s hard, having years where we made less than $25k total ourselves. But you have to live within your means. TV, cable/streaming services, fast internet, mid-to-high end phones, computers, and tablets, cars more than $5k, etc are all luxuries you cannot afford until you have at least a positive Net Worth. And even then, you should still practice delayed gratification.
  • Increase your Emergency Fund to 4-6 months worth of core expenses (mortgage, food, etc) and your investments contributions to 15-20% after your 10%+ interest rate debt is gone.
  • Start paying down your additional debt, perhaps excluding your mortgage. Given how ridiculously low mortgage rates are right now, it is hard to justify paying it down instead of investing the difference. In the last 30 years, the US Dollar has lost about half its purchasing power (relative to the cost of goods and services, not other currencies). 15 years into your mortgage, the “real” value of your loan could be a 25% less of what it was compared to your income and value of your home with inflation.
  • Once you are debt free from everything but your mortgage, increase your savings rate to 25-50%+ if you really want to get ahead. But 20% of your income really should be the minimum that you save. There is no guarantee you will have a job until your late 60’s nor do you want to be dependent on a shrinking [due to inflation] fixed income from an underfunded Social Security.

What Should I Include in My Net Worth?

Your Net Worth is all of your Assets minus your Liabilities. In other words, all your money + equity – your debts. The Net Worth value is important to track, even if just once a quarter, to make sure you are building wealth. A doctor making $300k/yr could have a low Net Worth if they spend 99% of their income; whereas a teacher could have a higher Net Worth than that doctor if they save $10k over the year. Your Net Worth quantifies how well you are converting your income into wealth, as opposed to luxuries that have no value after they are used. For many, equity from the home they live in is a large chunk of their Net Worth. This isn’t bad, per se, but it means only a smaller portion of your Net Worth is being productive (i.e. earning interest).

Here is what to include in your Net Worth with examples:

Cash – The balances in your Savings + Checking accounts that aren’t already spent, Cash in a safe or safety deposit box (or under your mattress), savings in your HSA or FSA, money owed you that you realistically expect to receive soon, etc

Subtract Debt – Credit Card balances, auto loans, and other lines of credit

Investments – Retirement accounts (401k, 403b, 457b, 529, IRA, etc), investments in your HSA, brokerage accounts, Robin Hood, WeBull, peer-to-peer lending

Real Estate, minus any mortgages or loans – Take a fair appraisal and subtract your mortgage balance. Zillow may or may not give you a realistic value. You could compare estimates from Zillow, Redfin, and ReMax to get in the ballpark. Personally, since we have only owned our home for a few years and want to be conservative, we’re using the last official appraisal. Not required, but do be conservative and honest here. We also don’t update this value but maybe once a year or two as we want to see the organic growth of our Net Worth from frequent saving and investing, not frequent “artificial” increases from our home value jumping around.

Precious Metals – This shouldn’t be a huge chunk of your portfolio, but some is usually good. Gold and Silver aren’t the best investment nor even the best hedge against inflation, but it’s part of not keeping all your eggs in one basket. There are times when gold is worth it’s weight in, well… gold. For example, some Jews fleeing Nazi Germany sewed gold coins into their clothes knowing they could restart their lives elsewhere (rather than having German Marks in say Japan or Argentina).

? Vehicles – IF using conservative values and mostly offseting loans, in our opinion. To be honest, the only reason we included our vehicles’ value in our Net Worth is because Personal Capital automatically added the loans (update: when we had the loans, but they are paid off now). Because vehicles decrease in value each year and we only buy reasonable ones (currently <$10k) we actually need, we wouldn’t sell them unless we were destitute because they get us to and from work and family. When a car loan was in Personal Capital, we added a manual asset offsetting the loan. This manual asset was always less than the actual value of the vehicle. In our opinion, the Net Worth should be about growing your passive investments and overall wealth; not having expensive luxuries that decrease in value but look valuable on paper. Would you rather have $200k “equity” in a super car or $200k in a 401k? Unless your net worth is >$2-5 million depending on your other lifestyle choices, the 401k is the correct answer.

Financial Status Update – Jul 2020

Oh my, what a crazy 2020 so far. Not that 2019 or especially 2018 were tame, but COVID-19 and a rolling global shut-down knocked everyone back. Add-in a whole host of smaller events like Tropical Storm Isaiah hitting the East coast, historic flooding in China starting to affect some supply and industry, Kobe Bryant dying in a helicopter crash, etc…

But 2020 hasn’t been a bummer year for our Net Worth! We paid off our second/final auto loan and committed to maxing out our retirement accounts at of the beginning of the year, before Coronavirus hit. We continued steadily saving through it all, even though I was furloughed for a few weeks. I had made myself extremely useful in a number of roles; not quite irreplaceable but close. This limited the number of weeks I had to take off unpaid compared to others. Continuing to buy during the massive 30% dip (3/19/20 below) meant that we saw great returns on the way up. We didn’t Dollar Cost Average per se (http://prudentcoin.com/dollar-cost-averaging-is-timing-the-market/), but invested like normal as soon as we had the cash.

There were two financial moves we made but wouldn’t necessarily recommend, but happened none-the-less:

First, we changed my 401k plan’s allocation; it had been in a Target Date Retirement plan with 70% stocks and 30% bonds. We had been fearful of a market crash and it better fit our risk profile. After a near 30% market drop, but knowing it could drop even further, we decided to re-balance to a 90/10 fund. This ultimately made us more money when the market rebounded as bonds hadn’t dropped quite like stocks had. However, we wouldn’t recommend as we were going against our own investment principles and actually timed the market. Sure, it worked out this time… or did it?

By being in a lower percentage of stocks for several years, we were seeing lower returns than we would have if we were 90% in stocks. So, even though our portfolio fell less in March 2020, the greater returns of the stocks over the preceding years would have been more than enough to cover the difference (blue line is 90/10 and orange is 70/30 stock/bond with Vanguard Target Date retirement funds):

Source: https://markets.ft.com/data/funds/us/compare

Our second abnormal money move was… we had money left over from a cash-out refinance on our house last fall. We had put in a lot of sweat equity, given the kitchen and frankly the whole house was nasty when we bought it 2.5 years prior. We wanted to get back to a 75% LTV so we could finish a few more needed projects, like a garage that needs a new roof, door and opener, siding, etc. We maxed out our 2020 [Roth] IRA’s plus filled up the last of our limit for 2019. We did this in March, when the market was 20-25% down from it’s previous high, as we knew it was a good value. Even if the market went lower, we were content. We hadn’t planned on this, but it was too good an opportunity to pass up.

Since our last Financial Update was in December of 2018, let’s cover 2019 with a chart too. The major bump in the Fall was our cash influx and adjustment of our home’s value from the refinance and new appraisal. While that certainly was very nice, the major takeaway should be the steady growth from consistent contributions and staying in the market throughout the entire year.

2019 was a year of slow and steady growth, but it is exciting to see that in 2020, even with the crazy times, compound interest really becomes exponential as the balance adds up. But that doesn’t happen unless you make sacrifices on the front end. In 2020, we are saving ~50% of income + in our 9th year of delaying gratification and busting rear working 80+ hours a week. That’s what it takes to see this kind of growth after 5+ years into our FI journey. Our stretch goal this year was to hit a $320k net worth, and we are surprisingly on track to even surpass that. We will see!

We are not saying we’ve made it, but so excited how far we come after the sacrifices we’ve made. Please go back and read our updates and mindset from several years ago. As our net worth grows, it might be hard to relate if you are just starting out. But read our 2016 posts, especially: http://prudentcoin.com/being-frustrated-with-where-you-are-at-financially/ There is light at the end of the tunnel. For us, a solid Financial Independence (FI) is still 10 years out, but we have some FU money now. Start with the basics: save and invest, then save and invest more…